Thursday, March 21, 2013

Early Easter forecast: Not great

The combination of an early Easter and a late-season outbreak of cold weather could add up to a nasty holiday weekend.

Easter is about 10 days away, and 10-day forecasts aren't the most reliable thing in the world. But odds are that the current pattern won't end by then.

The eastern half of the United States is locked in a mid-winter pattern, with high pressure near Greenland blocking the typical west-to-east flow of systems. Instead, the jet stream has buckled, allowing very cold air to funnel from the Arctic into the continental United States.

A storm system that will cross the country this weekend will bring snow -- some of it heavy -- to the Ohio Valley and parts of the Mid-Atlantic region. For the Charlotte region, the weekend will be a chilly washout. Rain will fall Friday night and again Saturday night, and temperatures will remain about 10 degrees below average.

Often, a pattern like this lasts a few days and then breaks. But there will be no let-up next week. Colder-than-average temperatures will continue to dominate the East, and it appears as if that pattern will continue through Easter weekend. Some computer models indicate a rain-producing system will cross the area on the day before Easter, but I wouldn't worry too much about that yet.  It's too early to pinpoint the development of low pressure systems.

But we likely can count on high temperatures only in the 50s.

It's starting to look as if the pattern might break a couple days after Easter.  When that happens, we'll probably experience a rather rapid warm-up.

17 comments:

Anonymous said...

Really dude....10 days out and you're already writing an article about the weather on easter sunday. You must really have to justify your job or the ncaa basketball tourney isn't filling up the news pages!

Anonymous said...

Anonymous 8:57 = TROLL

Foghorn Leghorn said...

Really, due @ 8:57 - you're reading an article about weather 10 days out and the complaining about it? What was it about the headline and the story that you didn't understand?

ncknight said...

ITS BUSH'S FAULT!

Anonymous said...

There's really nothing all that unusual about this weather pattern for this time of year, Steve's just writing about it. The meteorologists and calendars may say "Spring", but the Earth knows better.

And a chilly Easter? So? We'll have a final frost in April, mark my words.

Anonymous said...

Local weather geeks can't get an accurate forecast 5 days out. What's the point of 9?

Al Gore/Jo Biden 20163 said...

But, he boldly stated, "Winter is dead. Stick a fork in it."

He then declared, "Cold air floodgates opened," and, "Spring? Not for two weeks."

So, it is fair to expect some nice warm, sunny weather on Easter now that he has called for a "nasty holiday weekend."

Deputy Dog Gnat said...

If "winter is dead," then how can it be possible spring is on hold for two weeks? Did winter resurrect?

Anonymous said...

You read it here: If it isn't 75 degrees, cloudless, and sunny, it is "nasty." Cold and wet = nasty. In fact, cold and wet is closer to "evil" and "sinister." Let the weather man tell you how it should be judged.

Smartazz yankee said...

Accurate weather forecasting beyond two days is no more a foolhardy endeavour than filling out "brackets" to predict who will be NCAA basketball champion weeks in advance of the actual championship game.

TC said...

The Weather Guy must get his forecasts from Brad Panicovitch......

Deputy Dogge Natts said...

Weathermen are imaginative, influential, and tough! Their forecasts are fiction, they can motivate tens of thousands to mindlessly horde bread and milk, and they are able to withstand deserved abuse from the critics! Awesome fellows!

Anonymous said...

"It's starting to look as if the pattern might break a couple days after Easter. When that happens, we'll probably experience a rather rapid warm-up."

Another wild, unfounded, long-distance prediction.

Anonymous said...

Well steve,you really look like a hot mess now. The weather channel is saying 60 and sunny sat and 63 and sunny for easter. This article is as lame as Nobama's ncaa bracket!

Anonymous said...

Anonymous @9:22= waste of a life.

Anonymous said...

This article should be nominated for 'Best Fiction' of the season.

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